
Applications per job ad are climbing, creating bigger shortlists and more noise for TA teams to sift through.

Employers are cautious with budgets, yet still paying premiums for proven delivery in scarce skill areas.

The advantage will go to people and organisations who can show real-world application and ROI.
Even in an employer-led market, slow feedback loops are now costing employers strong candidates.

Reduced grad and entry-level hiring is building future capability risk, especially as AI changes what “good” looks like.

Organisations are recognising that AI and innovation can’t deliver value without strong foundations; refocusing on core systems, infrastructure, and delivery capability.
While hiring conditions have stabilised, it isn’t a return to business as usual. After several years of volatility, organisations are hiring more intentionally with slower employment growth than pre-COVID, tighter budgets, and greater scrutiny on where new roles deliver real impact.
This measured approach is reflected in our salary and rate data. Across most job families, movement has been modest, with many roles seeing little to no change year-on-year. Where we have seen meaningful uplift, it’s been highly targeted. In Australia, top-end salaries for Microsoft specialist roles increased by around 6%, while in New Zealand, key Digital roles saw average increases of around 3%.
Broad salary inflation has cooled but premiums remain for proven capability, and employers are still willing to pay for experience that can deliver outcomes quickly. Even as overall hiring remains cautious, demand continues for roles tied to infrastructure, platforms, security, and transformation.
With more candidates on the market, hiring should feel easier but many employers are finding the opposite.
Rising application volumes are putting real pressure on hiring teams. Larger shortlists, longer screening times, and slower feedback loops are becoming common, while expectations around speed and candidate experience remain high.
As application numbers climb into the hundreds, the risk of losing strong candidates also increases, with high-quality talent disengaging while organisations work through crowded pipelines.
For hiring managers, success in 2026 won’t come from attracting more candidates, but from qualifying better, moving faster, and being clearer on what “good” looks like from the outset.
This year, "in demand" is less about job titles and more about technological capability.
Capability beats confidence
Feeling confident isn’t the same as being competitive. In 2026, the edge will go to candidates who can demonstrate judgement, delivery and real-world impact — not just skills or tool familiarity.
Be deliberate about when you move
Many professionals are staying put due to market uncertainty. The strongest candidates will move with intention (consider clear scope, credible leadership, genuine progression, and compensation that stacks up)rather than jumping at the first option out of frustration or fear.
AI fluency needs evidence
AI is becoming a baseline expectation. What matters is how you’ve applied it and where it improved outcomes, reduced risk or enabled better decisions.
Balance stability with trajectory
In a flatter salary market, the roles that pay off long term are the ones that build capability. Prioritising opportunities with clear progression, learning exposure, and access to strong leaders will do more for your future earning power than chasing short-term pay increases alone.
Retention isn't loyalty
Low turnover can hide disengagement. With 69% of workers unsure their employer would fight to keep them, experience and communication gaps matter more than ever.
Hire for execution, not volume
Even in a candidate-saturated market, more applications won’t solve capability gaps. Clear role definition, disciplined qualification and faster decision-making will.
Leadership capability is a workforce lever
When leaders communicate clearly, make sound decisions and build trust, teams move faster, stay engaged and deliver more consistently. In AI-enabled environments, strong leadership reduces friction, improves adoption and helps organisations retain critical capability.
Design for capability, not titles
As roles continue to shift, the organisations that align skills, learning, and leadership around real work — rather than role labels — will be best positioned for 2026 and beyond.

